Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 10, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday


	Mwendwa Mbithi		Aziz Ouakaa

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.23
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.58	2.25	Watch
	1.38	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.41)	2.29 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mwendwa Mbithi
59.4%

Aziz Ouakaa
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mwendwa Mbithi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mwendwa Mbithi's form might have worsened.

Aziz Ouakaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aziz Ouakaa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mwendwa Mbithi than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mwendwa Mbithi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aziz Ouakaa than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aziz Ouakaa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mwendwa Mbithi - Aziz Ouakaa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ouakaa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Ouakaa (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ouakaa (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Mbithi is ranked ATP: 743. Ouakaa is ranked ATP: 668.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Mbithi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mbithi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mbithi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mwendwa Mbithi
ITF Tournaments
12.11.25	Filip Jeff Planinsek - Mwendwa Mbithi	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Lorenzo Sciahbasi	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Justas Trainauskas	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Jeremy Gschwendtner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWW
- Aziz Ouakaa
ITF Tournaments
12.11.25	Aziz Ouakaa - David Eichenseher	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Jan Kumstat	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.10.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Cesar Bouchelaghem	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Chirag Duhan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.07.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0

Upcoming Matches