Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Angers (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Angers (France) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Barbora Palicova		Sara Saito

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.97	1.75	Watch
	1.95	1.88
	1.95	1.85	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.9	1.82	Watch
	1.97	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.2)	1.81 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barbora Palicova
48.5%

Sara Saito
51.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbora Palicova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barbora Palicova's performance.

Sara Saito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sara Saito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbora Palicova than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Saito than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.5%	0%	86.5%

Barbora Palicova - Sara Saito Predictions

Users Predictions: Sara Saito will win (30 of 34 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.41% – 99.07%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Palicova is ranked WTA: 189. Saito is ranked WTA: 157.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Palicova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barbora Palicova
ITF Tournaments
20.11.24	Kaitlin Quevedo - Barbora Palicova	Canceled ✺
08.11.24	Barbora Palicova - Anna-Lena Friedsam	0:2 ✺
07.11.24	Barbora Palicova - Isabella Shinikova	2:0 ✺
05.11.24	Barbora Palicova - Julie Struplova	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Barbora Palicova - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?LWWL
- Sara Saito
ITF Tournaments
21.11.24	Sara Saito - Sijia Wei	0:2
21.11.24	Sara Saito - Honoka Kobayashi	2:0 ✺
18.11.24	Sara Saito - Xiaodi You	2:0 ✺
WTA Hong Kong
28.10.24	Sara Saito - Bernarda Pera	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Sara Saito - Lulu Sun	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWL?

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barbora Palicova
ITF Tournaments
28.10.26	Maria Kononova - Barbora Palicova	✺
- Sara Saito
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Madison Sieg - Sara Saito
28.10.26	Ariana Arseneault - Sara Saito	✺

Barbora Palicova - Sara Saito