Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Sao Paulo, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sao Paulo 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Bastian Malla		Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida

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Bastian Malla
51.6%

Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
48.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastian Malla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastian Malla than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Malla is ranked ATP: 962. de Almeida is ranked ATP: 753.

Malla has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

de Almeida is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

de Almeida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bastian Malla
ITF Tournaments
31.07.26	Bastian Malla - Enzo Camargo Lima	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Bastian Malla - Alvaro Ariel Frutos Alonso	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Bastian Malla - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Kaue Noatto - Bastian Malla	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Bastian Malla - Carlos Maria Zarate	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLWL
- Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
ITF Tournaments
31.07.26	Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida - Nicolas Zanellato	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Enzo Kohlmann - Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Rafael Tosetto - Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida - Samuel Heredia	0:2 ✺
29.06.26	Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida - Lucas Yunez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW

Bastian Malla - Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida