Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Beatriz Haddad Maia		Belinda Bencic

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.1	1.22
	3.95	1.25
	4.07	1.26
	3.43	1.31	Watch
	4.2	1.22
	3.81	1.27	Watch
	3.95	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.05)	1.25 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beatriz Haddad Maia
24.1%

Belinda Bencic
75.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

74.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beatriz Haddad Maia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beatriz Haddad Maia's form might have worsened.

Belinda Bencic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belinda Bencic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beatriz Haddad Maia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belinda Bencic than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Beatriz Haddad Maia - Belinda Bencic Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Haddad Maia will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Bencic will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bencic: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Haddad Maia (votes: 2 - 50%). Bencic (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Bencic (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Haddad Maia (votes: 2 - 40%). Bencic (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Haddad Maia is ranked WTA: 19. Bencic is ranked WTA: 42.

Haddad Maia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bencic is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Haddad Maia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bencic is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Haddad Maia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beatriz Haddad Maia
WTA Madrid
24.04.25	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Bernarda Pera	2:1 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
15.04.25	Emma Navarro - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.04.25	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:1 ✺
10.04.25	Linda Noskova - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.25	Linda Fruhvirtova - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL
- Belinda Bencic
WTA Madrid
24.04.25	Belinda Bencic - Clara Tauson	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Belinda Bencic - Zeynep Sonmez	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
02.04.25	Sofia Kenin - Belinda Bencic	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Belinda Bencic - Erika Andreeva	Canceled ✺
WTA Miami
21.03.25	Belinda Bencic - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWL?L

Latest Head to Head

WTA Abu Dhabi
11.02.23	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Belinda Bencic	0:2
WTA Toronto
12.08.22	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Belinda Bencic	2:1
WTA Sydney
10.01.22	Belinda Bencic - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:0

Beatriz Haddad Maia - Belinda Bencic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide