Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday


	Beibit Zhukayev		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	4.33	1.2
	4.4	1.22	Watch
	4.63	1.22
	4.53	1.22	Watch
	4.2	1.22	Watch
	4.2	1.23	Watch
	4.4	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (3.27)	1.22 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beibit Zhukayev
21.8%

Roman Safiullin
78.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beibit Zhukayev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beibit Zhukayev's form might have worsened.

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roman Safiullin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beibit Zhukayev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roman Safiullin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Beibit Zhukayev - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zhukayev will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Safiullin will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 196. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 69.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Zhukayev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Safiullin is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP Shanghai
01.10.24	Billy Harris - Beibit Zhukayev	1:2 ✺
30.09.24	Beibit Zhukayev - Lloyd Harris	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
25.09.24	Beibit Zhukayev - Goncalo Oliveira	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
18.09.24	Beibit Zhukayev - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
17.09.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Beibit Zhukayev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 W?LLW
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Beijing
28.09.24	Jannik Sinner - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
26.09.24	Roman Safiullin - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Roman Safiullin - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Roman Safiullin - Aoran Wang	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
21.09.24	Roman Safiullin - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL

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