Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday


	Roman Safiullin		Juncheng Shang

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.55	Watch
	2.45	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.58
	2.52	1.55	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.49	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.27)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
38.3%

Juncheng Shang
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Roman Safiullin - Juncheng Shang Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Shang will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shang: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 56. Shang is ranked ATP: 67.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Shang will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Safiullin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Chengdu
19.09.24	Roman Safiullin - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Roman Safiullin	3:0 ✺
27.08.24	Matthew Forbes - Roman Safiullin	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.24	Christopher Eubanks - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	Corentin Moutet - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW
- Juncheng Shang
ATP Chengdu
19.09.24	Juncheng Shang - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.24	Casper Ruud - Juncheng Shang	3:2 ✺
28.08.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Juncheng Shang	0:3 ✺
26.08.24	Juncheng Shang - Alexander Bublik	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Juncheng Shang	Sonego L. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.08.22	Roman Safiullin - Juncheng Shang	1:2

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