Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville (France), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday


	Benjamin Hassan		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.55	Watch
	2.33	1.62
	2.34	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.27	1.59	Watch
	2.25	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.01)	1.59 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Hassan
41.3%

Alibek Kachmazov
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Hassan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Hassan than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Benjamin Hassan - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Users Predictions: Alibek Kachmazov will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hassan is ranked ATP: 204. Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 186.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Hassan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kachmazov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Hassan
ATP Challenger
03.03.25	Felix Balshaw - Benjamin Hassan	0:2 ✺
26.02.25	Viktor Durasovic - Benjamin Hassan	2:1 ✺
19.02.25	Benjamin Hassan - Raul Brancaccio	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Benjamin Hassan - Javier Barranco Cosano	Barranco Cosano J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLL?
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Gauthier Onclin - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Patrick Zahraj	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
09.02.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Lukas Klein	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.02.25	Alexander Blockx - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW

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