Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota (Colombia) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday

Referee: Campos M. (Bra)


	Benjamin Ignacio Torres Fernandez		Kousuke Ogura

	1	2
			Watch
	3.5	1.25
	3.35	1.28
	3.71	1.26
	3.27	1.31
	3.4	1.3
	3.43	1.29	Watch
	3.35	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.37)	1.28 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Ignacio Torres Fernandez
27.2%

Kousuke Ogura
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Ignacio Torres Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benjamin Ignacio Torres Fernandez's form might have worsened.

Kousuke Ogura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kousuke Ogura's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Ignacio Torres Fernandez than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benjamin Ignacio Torres Fernandez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kousuke Ogura than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kousuke Ogura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Benjamin Ignacio Torres Fernandez - Kousuke Ogura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Torres Fernandez is ranked ATP: 1351. Ogura is ranked ATP: 865.

Torres Fernandez is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ogura is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Torres Fernandez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ogura is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Ignacio Torres Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
10.07.24	Benjamin Ignacio Torres Fernandez - Gorazd Srbljak	1:2 ✺
03.07.24	Dominik Kellovsky - Benjamin Ignacio Torres Fernandez	2:0 ✺
20.06.24	Benjamin Ignacio Torres Fernandez - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Benjamin Ignacio Torres Fernandez - Edison Ambarzumjan	2:0 ✺
05.06.24	Benjamin Ignacio Torres Fernandez - John Hallquist Lithen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWL
- Kousuke Ogura
ITF Tournaments
03.08.24	Peter Bertran - Kousuke Ogura	2:0 ✺
02.08.24	Johan Alexander Rodriguez - Kousuke Ogura	0:2 ✺
01.08.24	Benedikt Emesz - Kousuke Ogura	0:2 ✺
25.07.24	Kousuke Ogura - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	0:2 ✺
23.07.24	Kousuke Ogura - Preston Brown	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWLW

Benjamin Ignacio Torres Fernandez - Kousuke Ogura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide