Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Dobrich 2 (Bulgaria), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 September 2024, Tuesday


	Benjamin Lock		Corentin Denolly

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.82	2.02
	1.8	1.95	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.78	1.97	Watch
	1.77	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.24)	1.97 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Lock
52.7%

Corentin Denolly
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Lock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benjamin Lock's performance.

Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corentin Denolly might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Lock than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benjamin Lock that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corentin Denolly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Benjamin Lock - Corentin Denolly Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lock will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lock is ranked ATP: 320. Denolly is ranked ATP: 372.

Lock is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Denolly is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Lock
ATP Challenger
05.09.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Benjamin Lock	2:1 ✺
03.09.24	Benjamin Lock - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
02.09.24	Benjamin Lock - Max Wiskandt	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Benjamin Lock - Kuzey Cekirge	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.08.24	Matias Soto - Benjamin Lock	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWWW
- Corentin Denolly
ATP Challenger
02.09.24	Corentin Denolly - Kilian Feldbausch	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Corentin Denolly - Simone Agostini	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.08.24	Mika Lipp - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
21.08.24	David Fix - Corentin Denolly	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Corentin Denolly - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL

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