Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul (Turkey), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 September 2024, Tuesday


	Benjamin Lock		August Holmgren

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3	1.34
	2.8	1.38	Watch
	3.12	1.38
	2.78	1.41	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.13	1.34	Watch
	2.8	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.81)	1.37 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Lock
31.4%

August Holmgren
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Lock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Lock than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Benjamin Lock - August Holmgren Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lock is ranked ATP: 373. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 163.

Lock in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Holmgren is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Holmgren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Holmgren is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Lock
ATP Challenger
02.09.24	Benjamin Lock - Max Wiskandt	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Benjamin Lock - Kuzey Cekirge	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.08.24	Matias Soto - Benjamin Lock	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Benjamin Lock - Peter Bertran	2:1 ✺
23.08.24	Tomas Farjat - Benjamin Lock	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
28.08.24	August Holmgren - Charles Broom	1:2 ✺
13.08.24	Laurent Lokoli - August Holmgren	2:1 ✺
04.08.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
03.08.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
02.08.24	August Holmgren - Arthur Reymond	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWW

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