Match Info

Date: 27 July 2022, Wednesday


	Benjamin Lock		Illya Marchenko

	1	2
	2.2	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.45	1.53
	2.21	1.57
	2.39	1.59
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.36	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.24)	1.58 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Lock
40.8%

Illya Marchenko
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Lock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Lock than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Benjamin Lock - Illya Marchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Lock will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Marchenko will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marchenko: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lock is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Marchenko is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Marchenko will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Lock
ATP Challenger
26.07.22	Altug Celikbilek - Benjamin Lock	0:2 ✺
25.07.22	Kenny De Schepper - Benjamin Lock	1:2 ✺
24.07.22	Dominik Palan - Benjamin Lock	1:2 ✺
22.07.22	Roman Safiullin - Benjamin Lock	2:0 ✺
21.07.22	Benjamin Lock - Ji Sung Nam	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWLW
- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
25.07.22	Andrey Kuznetsov - Illya Marchenko	1:2 ✺
20.07.22	Illya Marchenko - Denis Istomin	0:2 ✺
18.07.22	Illya Marchenko - Grigoriy Lomakin	2:0 ✺
04.07.22	Kaichi Uchida - Illya Marchenko	2:0 ✺
27.06.22	Illya Marchenko - Tung-Lin Wu	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWL?

Benjamin Lock - Illya Marchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide