Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAN LUIS POTOSI (MEXICO), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 March 2024, Tuesday


	Benjamin Lock		Matias Soto

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.5	1.48	Watch
	2.66	1.5
	2.66	1.5
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.56	1.48	Watch
	2.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.42)	1.5 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Lock
37.4%

Matias Soto
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Lock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Lock than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Benjamin Lock - Matias Soto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lock is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Soto is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Soto will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Lock
ATP Challenger
07.03.24	Stefan Kozlov - Benjamin Lock	2:1 ✺
06.03.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Benjamin Lock	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Benjamin Lock - Lucas Bouquet	1:2 ✺
14.02.24	Benjamin Lock - Elmar Ejupovic	0:2 ✺
06.02.24	Luke Saville - Benjamin Lock	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLL
- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
25.03.24	Matias Soto - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	James Kent Trotter - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
12.03.24	Matias Soto - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
25.02.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Matias Soto - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 WWLLW

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