Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PAU (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max


	Benoit Paire		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2	1.75	Watch
	1.97	1.87
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.88	1.87	Watch
	2.07	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.1)	1.77 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benoit Paire
47%

Otto Virtanen
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benoit Paire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benoit Paire that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Otto Virtanen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	0%	81%

Benoit Paire - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Users Predictions: Otto Virtanen will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Paire is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Virtanen is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Virtanen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Virtanen will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Virtanen to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benoit Paire
ATP Challenger
21.02.24	Benoit Paire - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
15.02.24	Benoit Paire - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
14.02.24	Benoit Paire - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
31.01.24	Benoit Paire - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
29.01.24	Andy Murray - Benoit Paire	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWLW
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
20.02.24	Tristan Lamasine - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
13.02.24	Adrian Andreev - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
03.02.24	Otto Virtanen - Joao Sousa	Canceled ✺
02.02.24	Otto Virtanen - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.01.24	Otto Virtanen - Harold Mayot	Mayot H. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WL?W?

Benoit Paire - Otto Virtanen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide