Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PALMAS DEL MAR (PUERTO RICO), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 June 2023, Tuesday


	Bernard Tomic		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.25	1.62
	2.38	1.61
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.29	1.57	Watch
	2.16	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.63)	1.59 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
40.9%

Alex Bolt
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bernard Tomic's performance.

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Bolt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bernard Tomic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Bolt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Bernard Tomic - Alex Bolt Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tomic will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bolt will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolt: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Tomic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bolt is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tomic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bolt will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
12.06.23	Bernard Tomic - Strong Kirchheimer	2:1 ✺
11.06.23	Bernard Tomic - Donald Young	2:0 ✺
04.06.23	Bernard Tomic - Nick Chappell	0:2 ✺
29.05.23	Christian Langmo - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
28.05.23	Tristan McCormick - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLW
- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
07.06.23	Alex Bolt - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
05.06.23	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
28.05.23	Duarte Vale - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.23	Alex Bolt - Oleksii Krutykh	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLL

Bernard Tomic - Alex Bolt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide