Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Rodriguez P. (Esp)


	Bernarda Pera		Renata Zarazua

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.7
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.4	3.01
	1.41	3.01
	1.4	2.75
	1.43	2.73	Watch
	1.43	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.62)	2.84 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernarda Pera
66.8%

Renata Zarazua
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernarda Pera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bernarda Pera's performance.

Renata Zarazua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Renata Zarazua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernarda Pera than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bernarda Pera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Renata Zarazua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Bernarda Pera - Renata Zarazua Predictions

Users Predictions: Bernarda Pera will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

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Preview

Pera in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Zarazua is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pera will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Pera to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernarda Pera
WTA Madrid
22.04.24	Bernarda Pera - Laura Pigossi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.04.24	Bernarda Pera - Clara Tauson	Tauson C. walkover ✺
19.04.24	Bernarda Pera - Francisca Jorge	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Bernarda Pera - Tena Lukas	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Bernarda Pera - Astra Sharma	Pera B. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 W?WW?
- Renata Zarazua
WTA Madrid
22.04.24	Alycia Parks - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.04.24	Francisca Jorge - Renata Zarazua	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Alycia Parks - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
WTA Bogota
03.04.24	Renata Zarazua - Kamilla Rakhimova	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Renata Zarazua - Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLW

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