Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 3 (PORTUGAL) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 17 April 2023, Monday


	Billy Harris		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.53	2.45
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.48	2.51	Watch
	1.54	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.75)	2.37 ↑ (1.94)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billy Harris
60.7%

Andrey Chepelev
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billy Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Billy Harris's performance.

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Chepelev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billy Harris than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Billy Harris that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrey Chepelev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Billy Harris - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Harris will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Chepelev will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Chepelev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Harris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billy Harris
ATP Challenger
16.04.23	Billy Harris - Kalin Ivanovski	2:1 ✺
11.04.23	Billy Harris - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
10.04.23	Steven Diez - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
09.04.23	Sergi Perez Contri - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Akira Santillan - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWL
- Andrey Chepelev
ATP Challenger
16.04.23	Tiago Boschmans - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.04.23	Andrey Chepelev - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
10.04.23	Andrey Chepelev - Alessandro Ingarao	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.04.23	Pablo Martinez Gomez - Andrey Chepelev	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.03.23	Andrey Chepelev - Luca Tomasetto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.05.22	Billy Harris - Andrey Chepelev	0:2

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