Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bali 2 (Indonesia), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday


	Blake Ellis		Tomohiro Masabayashi

	1	2
	1.26	3.4
	1.25	3.45
	1.26	3.51	Watch
	1.25	3.75
	1.28	3.43	Watch
	1.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.55)	3.5 ↑ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blake Ellis
73.5%

Tomohiro Masabayashi
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blake Ellis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blake Ellis's performance.

Tomohiro Masabayashi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tomohiro Masabayashi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blake Ellis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomohiro Masabayashi than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tomohiro Masabayashi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Blake Ellis - Tomohiro Masabayashi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ellis is ranked ATP: 349. Masabayashi is ranked ATP: 892.

Recent matches Ellis is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Masabayashi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Masabayashi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ellis will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Ellis
ITF Tournaments
16.09.24	Blake Ellis - Andrea Bacaloni	2:0 ✺
10.09.24	Duck Hee Lee - Blake Ellis	2:1 ✺
02.09.24	Blake Ellis - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
10.08.24	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
09.08.24	Mukund Sasikumar - Blake Ellis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW
- Tomohiro Masabayashi
ITF Tournaments
16.09.24	Tomohiro Masabayashi - Elias Julian Werner	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Tomohiro Masabayashi - Samir Banerjee	0:2 ✺
13.09.24	Sanhui Shin - Tomohiro Masabayashi	0:2 ✺
13.09.24	Loic Namigandet Tenguere - Tomohiro Masabayashi	0:2 ✺
11.09.24	Shaheed Alam - Tomohiro Masabayashi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW

Blake Ellis - Tomohiro Masabayashi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide