Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Caloundra (Australia), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday


	Blake Ellis		Yuki Mochizuki

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.8
	1.36	2.8
	1.35	3.09
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.37	2.89	Watch
	1.36	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)	2.85 ↑ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blake Ellis
67.6%

Yuki Mochizuki
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blake Ellis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Yuki Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuki Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Blake Ellis - Yuki Mochizuki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ellis is ranked ATP: 354. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 676.

Ellis in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Mochizuki is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mochizuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ellis will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ellis to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ellis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Ellis
ITF Tournaments
22.11.24	Blake Ellis - Alexander Klintcharov	2:0 ✺
20.11.24	Blake Ellis - Corban Crowther	2:0 ✺
16.11.24	Blake Ellis - Blake Mott	2:0 ✺
16.11.24	Blake Ellis - Christian Langmo	2:0 ✺
14.11.24	Blake Ellis - Joshua Sheehy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW
- Yuki Mochizuki
ITF Tournaments
22.11.24	Yuki Mochizuki - Emile Hudd	2:0 ✺
20.11.24	Yuki Mochizuki - Jayden Court	2:0 ✺
11.11.24	Yuki Mochizuki - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.10.24	Ajeet Rai - Yuki Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
29.10.24	Aleksandre Bakshi - Yuki Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.04.24	Yuki Mochizuki - Blake Ellis	0:2

Blake Ellis - Yuki Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide