Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 BUCHAREST 2 (ROMANIA), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday


	Bogdan Pavel		Petr Nesterov

	1	2
	3.25	1.3
	3.3	1.32
	3.25	1.33
	3.04	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.46)	1.32 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bogdan Pavel
29.1%

Petr Nesterov
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bogdan Pavel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bogdan Pavel's form might have worsened.

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petr Nesterov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogdan Pavel than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bogdan Pavel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petr Nesterov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Pavel is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nesterov is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Nesterov is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nesterov to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bogdan Pavel
ITF Tournaments
01.09.23	Bogdan Pavel - Amaury Raynel	2:1 ✺
31.08.23	Calin Manda - Bogdan Pavel	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Bogdan Pavel - Valentin Vanta	2:0 ✺
02.08.23	Corentin Denolly - Bogdan Pavel	2:0 ✺
27.07.23	Bogdan Pavel - Marius Copil	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLL
- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
01.09.23	Dan Alexandru Tomescu - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
31.08.23	Stefan Adrian Andreescu - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
30.08.23	Antonio Caruso - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
18.08.23	Petr Nesterov - Dan Alexandru Tomescu	0:2 ✺
17.08.23	Petr Nesterov - Quentin Folliot	Nesterov P. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWL?

Bogdan Pavel - Petr Nesterov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide