Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 2 May 2023, Tuesday


	Borna Coric		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.5	1.53
	2.5	1.53
	2.6	1.56
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.56	1.51	Watch
	2.5	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.51)	1.53 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borna Coric
37.9%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borna Coric has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borna Coric than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.2%	0%	65.8%

Borna Coric - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Coric will win (votes: 13 - 34.2%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 25 - 65.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 50.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Coric is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Davidovich Fokina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Coric could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Davidovich Fokina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Davidovich Fokina to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coric won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borna Coric
ATP Madrid
30.04.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
28.04.23	Hugo Gaston - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
19.04.23	Laslo Djere - Borna Coric	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.23	Borna Coric - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.23	Borna Coric - Christopher Eubanks	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLL
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Madrid
30.04.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1 ✺
28.04.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
21.04.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
20.04.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:0 ✺
18.04.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
10.03.22	Borna Coric - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2

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