Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 23 September 2024, Monday


	Borna Coric		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.7
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.71
	1.48	2.72	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.38	2.89	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.56)	2.72 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borna Coric
65.4%

Damir Dzumhur
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borna Coric has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borna Coric's performance.

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Damir Dzumhur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borna Coric than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borna Coric that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damir Dzumhur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Borna Coric - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Coric will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Dzumhur will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Coric is ranked ATP: 97. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 86.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Dzumhur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Coric will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Coric won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borna Coric
ATP Chengdu
19.09.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Borna Coric	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Borna Coric - Adrian Mannarino	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.24	Borna Coric - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
20.08.24	Sebastian Baez - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
18.08.24	Borna Coric - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWW
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.24	Rinky Hijikata - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
15.09.24	Chun Hsin Tseng - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Tung-Lin Wu - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.24	Damir Dzumhur - Hamad Medjedovic	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Damir Dzumhur - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.01.24	Borna Coric - Damir Dzumhur	2:0
Exhibition Eastern European Championship 2 Men
22.07.20	Borna Coric - Damir Dzumhur	0:2

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