Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Digi Sport 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4


	Sebastian Baez		Borna Coric

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.12	1.7	Watch
	2.2	1.74
	2.15	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.17	1.7	Watch
	2.12	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.37)	1.71 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
44.5%

Borna Coric
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Baez's performance.

Borna Coric has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borna Coric might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Baez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borna Coric than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borna Coric could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Sebastian Baez - Borna Coric Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Coric will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 21. Coric is ranked ATP: 87.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Baez won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.24	Sebastian Baez - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
13.08.24	Marcos Giron - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
31.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
29.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Benjamin Hassan	2:1 ✺
28.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWW
- Borna Coric
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.24	Borna Coric - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Borna Coric	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
08.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Borna Coric	2:0 ✺
07.08.24	Borna Coric - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
06.08.24	Jakub Mensik - Borna Coric	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
29.08.23	Sebastian Baez - Borna Coric	3:0
ATP Winston-Salem
25.08.23	Borna Coric - Sebastian Baez	1:2

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