Match Info

Date: 3 August 2021, Tuesday


	Brandon Nakashima		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	1.66	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.66	2.13
	1.72	2.23
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.57)	2.2 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
56.7%

Alexei Popyrin
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexei Popyrin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.5%	0%	79.5%

Brandon Nakashima - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: 112 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 23 - 20.5%). Popyrin will win (votes: 89 - 79.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 72% – 87%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nakashima is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Popyrin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Popyrin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nakashima will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Atlanta
01.08.21	Brandon Nakashima - John Isner	0:2 ✺
31.07.21	Brandon Nakashima - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:1 ✺
30.07.21	Brandon Nakashima - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
28.07.21	Milos Raonic - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
27.07.21	Trent Bryde - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWW
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Atlanta
26.07.21	Alexei Popyrin - Steve Johnson	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.21	Kei Nishikori - Alexei Popyrin	3:0 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
23.06.21	Alexei Popyrin - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
22.06.21	Norbert Gombos - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
22.06.21	Cameron Norrie - Alexei Popyrin	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLW?

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