Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tiburon - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	Bryce Nakashima		Kaylan Bigun

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.30
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.61	2.50
	1.75	1.96	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.64	2.14	Watch
	1.57	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.71)	2.26 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bryce Nakashima
58.6%

Kaylan Bigun
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bryce Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Kaylan Bigun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bryce Nakashima than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bryce Nakashima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaylan Bigun than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaylan Bigun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bryce Nakashima - Kaylan Bigun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 872. Bigun is ranked ATP: 586.

Nakashima has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bigun's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Nakashima will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bryce Nakashima
ITF Tournaments
30.08.26	Jakub Vrba - Bryce Nakashima	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Bryce Nakashima - Preston Stearns	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Bryce Nakashima - Jack Anthrop	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Bryce Nakashima - Tyler Bowers	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Bryce Nakashima - Rocco Piatti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- Kaylan Bigun
ATP Challenger
25.08.26	Keshav Chopra - Kaylan Bigun	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Kaylan Bigun - Arklon Huertas Del Pino	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Kaylan Bigun - Lucas Andrade Da Silva	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.08.26	Kaylan Bigun - Maximus Dussault	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Kaylan Bigun - Naoya Honda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLW

Bryce Nakashima - Kaylan Bigun: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide