Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Bu Yunchaokete		Adam Walton

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.89	2.01
	1.77	1.93	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.75	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.09)	1.97 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bu Yunchaokete
52.6%

Adam Walton
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bu Yunchaokete's performance.

Adam Walton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adam Walton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bu Yunchaokete that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adam Walton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Bu Yunchaokete - Adam Walton Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Yunchaokete (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Yunchaokete (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bu Yunchaokete will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Yunchaokete (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 175. Walton is ranked ATP: 109.

Yunchaokete is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Walton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yunchaokete won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Adam Walton - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.88%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
15.04.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Yunseong Chung	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Max Wiskandt	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Arthur Fery - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW
- Adam Walton
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	James Kent Trotter - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
ATP Houston
01.04.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Luka Pavlovic - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Adam Walton - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.05.24	Adam Walton - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1

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