Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou (China), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Referee: Du Y. (Chn)


	Bu Yunchaokete		James Duckworth

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.26	1.69
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.22	1.61	Watch
	2.24	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.15)	1.64 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bu Yunchaokete
42.5%

James Duckworth
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bu Yunchaokete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Bu Yunchaokete - James Duckworth Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Yunchaokete will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Duckworth will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunchaokete: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Duckworth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Duckworth to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Yunchaokete won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Antoine Escoffier	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
23.04.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Alibek Kachmazov	Canceled ✺
21.04.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Richard Berankis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WW?LW
- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Richard Berankis - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
29.04.24	Dane Sweeny - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	James Duckworth - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	James Duckworth - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
26.04.24	James Duckworth - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.10.23	James Duckworth - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0

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