Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Metz (France), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 November 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis


	Bu Yunchaokete		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.46	2.65	Watch
	1.51	2.75
	1.51	2.65	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.49	2.64	Watch
	1.46	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.49)	2.68 ↑ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bu Yunchaokete
64.5%

Jesper De Jong
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Bu Yunchaokete - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Yunchaokete will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). De Jong will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunchaokete: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 72. De Jong is ranked ATP: 109.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

De Jong could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Yunchaokete will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Metz
05.11.24	Adrian Mannarino - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
27.10.24	Quentin Halys - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
14.10.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
13.10.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Illya Marchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLW
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Metz
03.11.24	Jesper De Jong - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Jesper De Jong - Theo Papamalamis	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
19.10.24	Jesper De Jong - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.10.24	Jesper De Jong - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW

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