Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SHENZHEN 3 (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 October 2023, Monday


	Bu Yunchaokete		Luke Saville

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.38	2.9	Watch
	1.4	3.06
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.28	3.42	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.41)	3 ↑ (2.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bu Yunchaokete
68.8%

Luke Saville
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Luke Saville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Saville than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Bu Yunchaokete - Luke Saville Predictions

Users Predictions: Bu Yunchaokete will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yunchaokete is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Saville is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Saville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Yunchaokete will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Yunchaokete won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
11.10.23	Nuno Borges - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
10.10.23	Bu Yunchaokete - James McCabe	McCabe J. retired ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.23	Sebastian Korda - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
04.10.23	Miomir Kecmanovic - Bu Yunchaokete	Kecmanovic M. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.23	Terence Atmane - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 L?L?L
- Luke Saville
ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Luke Saville - Chun Hsin Tseng	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.23	Luke Saville - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
02.10.23	Sumit Nagal - Luke Saville	0:2 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
21.09.23	Luke Saville - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
19.09.23	Stefano Napolitano - Luke Saville	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.09.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Luke Saville	2:0

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