Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tampere (Finland), clay - Final

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday

Referee: Louhos H. (Fin)


	Calvin Hemery		Daniel Rincon

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	2.4	1.62
	2.24	1.68	Watch
			Watch
	2.23	1.62	Watch
	2.21	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.85)	1.64 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvin Hemery
42.4%

Daniel Rincon
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Calvin Hemery's form might have worsened.

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Rincon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Calvin Hemery, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Rincon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Calvin Hemery - Daniel Rincon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Rincon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Rincon to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Calvin Hemery - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.93%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Daniel Rincon - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.07%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
27.07.24	Javier Barranco Cosano - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
26.07.24	Calvin Hemery - Marvin Moeller	2:1 ✺
25.07.24	Calvin Hemery - Vesa Ahti	2:0 ✺
22.07.24	Calvin Hemery - Mathys Erhard	2:1 ✺
02.07.24	Gabriel Debru - Calvin Hemery	Hemery C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWW?
- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
27.07.24	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
26.07.24	Daniel Rincon - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
24.07.24	Daniel Rincon - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
23.07.24	Daniel Rincon - Jay Clarke	Clarke J. retired ✺
20.07.24	Daniel Rincon - Alexey Zakharov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWW?L

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