Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Orleans (France), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday


	Calvin Hemery		Mark Lajal

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2.16	1.72
	2.16	1.7	Watch
			Watch
	2.19	1.63	Watch
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.49)	1.67 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvin Hemery
43.7%

Mark Lajal
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Calvin Hemery's performance.

Mark Lajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mark Lajal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Calvin Hemery that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mark Lajal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Calvin Hemery - Mark Lajal Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hemery will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Lajal will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hemery is ranked ATP: 238. Lajal is ranked ATP: 230.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hemery could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hemery won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
23.09.24	Richard Gasquet - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
17.09.24	Calvin Hemery - Charles Broom	Canceled ✺
10.09.24	Lucas Pouille - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
06.09.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
05.09.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 W?LLW
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
24.09.24	Mark Lajal - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
23.09.24	Mark Lajal - Lucas Poullain	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Mark Lajal - Niki Kaliyanda Poonacha	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
14.09.24	Khumoun Sultanov - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Mark Lajal - Terence Atmane	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.10.22	Calvin Hemery - Mark Lajal	0:2

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