Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon (France), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 June 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lyon (France) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Referee: Bodin L. (Fra)


	Calvin Hemery		Mathias Bourgue

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Calvin Hemery
47.2%

Mathias Bourgue
52.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Mathias Bourgue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Calvin Hemery aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Mathias Bourgue aligns with the current prediction.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Hemery is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bourgue is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hemery could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hemery won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
11.06.24	Calvin Hemery - Lucas Pouille	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.24	Calvin Hemery - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.24	Martin Landaluce - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
30.04.24	Calvin Hemery - Karue Sell	0:2 ✺
26.04.24	Calvin Hemery - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 ?LLLL
- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
10.06.24	Mathias Bourgue - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
09.06.24	Mathias Bourgue - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	Mathias Bourgue - Lasse Poertner	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.24	Zizou Bergs - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
22.05.24	Mathias Bourgue - Radu Albot	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLLW

ATP Challenger
12.06.23	Calvin Hemery - Mathias Bourgue	Hemery C. retired
24.06.17	Calvin Hemery - Mathias Bourgue	2:0
30.06.15	Calvin Hemery - Mathias Bourgue	2:1
20.06.15	Mathias Bourgue - Calvin Hemery	2:0

Calvin Hemery - Mathias Bourgue