Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Savannah (USA), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday

Referee: Cannavan S. (Aus)


	Calvin Hemery		Alexander Ritschard

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.72
			Watch
	2.21	1.71
	2.22	1.71
	2.07	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.77)	1.72 ↓ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvin Hemery
44.8%

Alexander Ritschard
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Calvin Hemery's form might have worsened.

Alexander Ritschard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Ritschard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Calvin Hemery, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Ritschard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Hemery in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ritschard is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ritschard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hemery won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
25.04.24	Joel Schwaerzler - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Calvin Hemery - Henry Searle	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Calvin Hemery - Zizou Bergs	Hemery C. retired ✺
19.04.24	Alexander Ritschard - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
18.04.24	Corentin Denolly - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WW?WW
- Alexander Ritschard
ATP Challenger
25.04.24	Omar Jasika - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Stefan Kozlov - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Alexander Ritschard - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
18.04.24	Alexander Ritschard - Bogdan Bobrov	2:1 ✺
16.04.24	Alexander Ritschard - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.04.24	Alexander Ritschard - Calvin Hemery	1:2

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