Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sarreguemines, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sarreguemines 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Calvin Mueller		Arthur Nagel

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.60
	2.2	1.6
	2.17	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.64
	2.2	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.7)	1.6 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvin Mueller
42.3%

Arthur Nagel
57.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvin Mueller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Calvin Mueller's performance.

Arthur Nagel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Nagel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Mueller than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Calvin Mueller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Nagel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Calvin Mueller - Arthur Nagel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mueller is ranked ATP: 901., and Nagel is ranked ATP: 356..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Mueller may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Nagel holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvin Mueller
ITF Tournaments
22.10.26	Florent Lagarrigue - Calvin Mueller	0:2 ✺
20.10.26	Christian Djonov - Calvin Mueller	Djonov C. Retired
17.10.26	Calvin Mueller - Mika Petkovic	1:2 ✺
16.10.26	Flynn Thomas - Calvin Mueller	0:2 ✺
15.10.26	Calvin Mueller - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 W?LWW
- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
22.10.26	Matt Ponchet - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
21.10.26	Aaron Gabet - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Arthur Nagel - Loann Massard	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.09.26	Arthur Nagel - Flynn Thomas	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Arthur Nagel - Timeo Trufelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLLW

Calvin Mueller - Arthur Nagel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Calvin Mueller - Arthur Nagel Predictions

Preview

Form

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