Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Roanne 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Arthur Nagel		Loann Massard

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.30
	1.50	2.40
	1.5	2.41	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.50	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)	2.36 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Nagel
60.7%

Loann Massard
39.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Nagel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Loann Massard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loann Massard than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Arthur Nagel - Loann Massard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagel is ranked ATP: 354., and Massard is ranked ATP: 768..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Nagel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Nagel has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Loann Massard - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.23%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
26.09.26	Arthur Nagel - Flynn Thomas	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Arthur Nagel - Timeo Trufelli	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Arthur Nagel - Paul Theate	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Arthur Nagel - Remy Dugardin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWWL
- Loann Massard
ITF Tournaments
09.10.26	Loann Massard - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
08.10.26	Loann Massard - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Loann Massard - Rahul Dhokia	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Samir Banerjee - Loann Massard	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Amaury Raynel - Loann Massard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.01.26	Arthur Nagel - Loann Massard	2:1

Arthur Nagel - Loann Massard