Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florianopolis (Brazil), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Rocha A. (Bra)


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Geoffrey Blancaneaux

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.25	3.6
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.24	4.13
	1.25	4.13
	1.23	3.95	Watch
	1.22	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.49)	3.95 ↑ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
76.2%

Geoffrey Blancaneaux
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Camilo Ugo Carabelli's performance.

Geoffrey Blancaneaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Geoffrey Blancaneaux might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camilo Ugo Carabelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geoffrey Blancaneaux than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Geoffrey Blancaneaux could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Geoffrey Blancaneaux Predictions

Users Predictions: Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Blancaneaux is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ugo Carabelli is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ugo Carabelli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
02.04.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Nicolas Zanellato	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luis Britto	Britto L. retired ✺
29.03.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Enzo Couacaud	1:2 ✺
28.03.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Daniel Cukierman	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WW?LW
- Geoffrey Blancaneaux
ATP Challenger
02.04.24	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	1:2 ✺
26.03.24	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
18.03.24	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Tristan Boyer - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.08.23	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2
ATP Santiago
06.03.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	1:2

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Geoffrey Blancaneaux: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide