Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Nishi-Tokyo, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nishi-Tokyo 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Carl Emil Overbeck		Emile Hudd

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Carl Emil Overbeck
65.5%

Emile Hudd
34.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carl Emil Overbeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Emile Hudd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carl Emil Overbeck than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carl Emil Overbeck that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emile Hudd than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emile Hudd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Overbeck is ranked ATP: 489. Hudd is ranked ATP: 684.

Overbeck is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hudd has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hudd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Overbeck is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Emile Hudd - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.46%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carl Emil Overbeck
ITF Tournaments
20.03.26	Ryo Tabata - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Yuta Kikuchi - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Taketo Takamisawa - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Raul Brancaccio - Carl Emil Overbeck	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Tomas Curras Abasolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLW
- Emile Hudd
ITF Tournaments
20.03.26	Emile Hudd - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Sanhui Shin - Emile Hudd	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Emile Hudd	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Kosuke Shibano - Emile Hudd	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Emile Hudd - John Echeverria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLL

Carl Emil Overbeck - Emile Hudd