Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Nishi-Tokyo, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday


	Emile Hudd		Naoki Nakagawa

	1	2
	1.89	1.93
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.79	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.81)	1.87 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emile Hudd
50.4%

Naoki Nakagawa
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emile Hudd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emile Hudd than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Emile Hudd - Naoki Nakagawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hudd is ranked ATP: 684. Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 678.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hudd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Emile Hudd - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.13%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emile Hudd
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Sanhui Shin - Emile Hudd	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Emile Hudd	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Kosuke Shibano - Emile Hudd	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Emile Hudd - John Echeverria	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Emile Hudd - Leonid Sheyngezikht	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLW
- Naoki Nakagawa
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Leo Vithoontien - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Riku Takahata	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.02.26	Li Tu - Naoki Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Ryo Tabata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLW

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