Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Carl Emil Overbeck		Fausto Tabacco

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.30
	1.56	2.28
	1.51	2.42	Watch
	1.58	2.35
	1.55	2.30	Watch
	1.54	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.4)	2.33 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carl Emil Overbeck
60.1%

Fausto Tabacco
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carl Emil Overbeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carl Emil Overbeck's form might have worsened.

Fausto Tabacco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fausto Tabacco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carl Emil Overbeck than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carl Emil Overbeck, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fausto Tabacco than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fausto Tabacco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carl Emil Overbeck - Fausto Tabacco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Overbeck is ranked ATP: 290., and Tabacco is ranked ATP: 528..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Overbeck could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Overbeck is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carl Emil Overbeck
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Alafia Ayeni - Carl Emil Overbeck	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.08.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Leonardo Primucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWW
- Fausto Tabacco
ITF Tournaments
24.09.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Fausto Tabacco	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Fausto Tabacco - Jack Anthrop	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Fausto Tabacco - Patrick Schoen	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Fausto Tabacco	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Lui Maxted - Fausto Tabacco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLWW

Carl Emil Overbeck - Fausto Tabacco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide