Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Falun, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Falun 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Carl Emil Overbeck		Inaki Montes De La Torre

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Carl Emil Overbeck
26.1%

Inaki Montes De La Torre
73.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carl Emil Overbeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carl Emil Overbeck's form might have worsened.

Inaki Montes De La Torre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inaki Montes De La Torre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carl Emil Overbeck than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inaki Montes De La Torre than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Overbeck is ranked ATP: 1094. Montes De La Torre is ranked ATP: 381.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Overbeck may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Montes De La Torre is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carl Emil Overbeck
ITF Tournaments
24.09.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Saba George Nanobashvili	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Ben Jones - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Abel Forger	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Emilien Demanet - Carl Emil Overbeck	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Valdemar Frederik Pape	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLL
- Inaki Montes De La Torre
ITF Tournaments
24.09.25	Sebastian Fanselow - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Jack Karlsson Wistrand - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Inaki Montes De La Torre	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Jonas Forejtek	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Benjamin Winter Lopez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLW

Carl Emil Overbeck - Inaki Montes De La Torre