Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Pontevedra, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday


	Carles Hernandez		Ivan Ivanov

	1	2
	3.12	1.33
	3.09	1.31	Watch
	3.14	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.63)	1.32 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carles Hernandez
29.8%

Ivan Ivanov
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carles Hernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carles Hernandez's form might have worsened.

Ivan Ivanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ivan Ivanov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carles Hernandez than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carles Hernandez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivan Ivanov than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ivan Ivanov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carles Hernandez - Ivan Ivanov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hernandez is ranked ATP: 832. Ivanov is ranked ATP: 932.

Hernandez has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ivanov has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ivanov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ivanov could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carles Hernandez
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Petr Brunclik - Carles Hernandez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Carles Hernandez - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Ryan Peniston - Carles Hernandez	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Carles Hernandez - Aidan McHugh	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Carles Hernandez - Fabrizio Karol Pio Osti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWW
- Ivan Ivanov
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.25	Ivan Ivanov - Otto Virtanen	Canceled ✺
13.09.25	Ivan Ivanov - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	Justin Engel - Ivan Ivanov	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Alex Molcan - Ivan Ivanov	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Ivan Ivanov - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 ?LLLL

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