Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Carlo Alberto Caniato		Jacopo Vasami

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.6	1.44
	2.19	1.61	Watch
	2.26	1.69
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.19)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlo Alberto Caniato
41.6%

Jacopo Vasami
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlo Alberto Caniato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Jacopo Vasami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlo Alberto Caniato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacopo Vasami than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jacopo Vasami, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Carlo Alberto Caniato - Jacopo Vasami Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Caniato will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Vasami will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Caniato (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Caniato is ranked ATP: 399. Vasami is ranked ATP: 554.

Caniato has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vasami is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Caniato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vasami could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Vasami will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ITF Tournaments
21.03.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Hynek Barton	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Denis Constantin Spiridon	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Daniele Rapagnetta	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Mykyta Mashtakov	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWWL
- Jacopo Vasami
ITF Tournaments
22.03.26	Jacopo Vasami - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Kilian Feldbausch - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Jacopo Vasami	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	Michiel De Krom - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Jacopo Vasami - Alex Martinez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWW

Carlo Alberto Caniato - Jacopo Vasami: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide