Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bergamo, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 June 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bergamo 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Carlo Alberto Caniato		Kasra Rahmani

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Carlo Alberto Caniato
76.2%

Kasra Rahmani
23.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlo Alberto Caniato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlo Alberto Caniato's performance.

Kasra Rahmani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kasra Rahmani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasra Rahmani than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

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Caniato is ranked ATP: 803. Rahmani is ranked ATP: 1271.

Caniato is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rahmani has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rahmani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Caniato is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ITF Tournaments
24.06.25	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Manuel Mazza - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Giovanni Oradini - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW
- Kasra Rahmani
ITF Tournaments
24.06.25	Kasra Rahmani - Gabriele Maria Noce	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Kasra Rahmani - Federico Iannaccone	0:2 ✺
04.06.25	Dan Added - Kasra Rahmani	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Fredrik Krogh Solheim - Kasra Rahmani	1:2 ✺
16.05.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Kasra Rahmani	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

Carlo Alberto Caniato - Kasra Rahmani