Match Info

Date: 10 October 2021, Sunday


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Andy Murray

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.76	2.07	Watch
	1.76	1.99
	1.83	2.09
	1.73	2.1
	1.75	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.9)	2.05 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
53.7%

Andy Murray
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Andy Murray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	0%	17.4%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andy Murray Predictions

Users Predictions: Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will win (76 of 92 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.86% – 90.36%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Murray is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcaraz Garfia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP US Open
07.09.21	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Alcaraz C. retired ✺
05.09.21	Peter Gojowczyk - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:3 ✺
03.09.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Stefanos Tsitsipas	3:2 ✺
01.09.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	3:1 ✺
30.08.21	Cameron Norrie - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 ?WWWW
- Andy Murray
ATP Indian Wells
08.10.21	Andy Murray - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP San Diego
30.09.21	Andy Murray - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
28.09.21	Denis Kudla - Andy Murray	0:2 ✺
28.09.21	Kei Nishikori - Andy Murray	Canceled ✺
ATP Metz
24.09.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLW?L

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