Match Info

Date: 22 May 2021, Saturday


	Carlos Gimeno Valero		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	1.55	2.19
	1.6	2.25
	1.6	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.44)	2.26 ↓ (2.79)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Gimeno Valero
58.8%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Gimeno Valero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlos Gimeno Valero's form might have worsened.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camilo Ugo Carabelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Gimeno Valero than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlos Gimeno Valero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Valero is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ugo Carabelli is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ugo Carabelli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Valero will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Gimeno Valero
ITF Tournaments
21.05.21	Carlos Gimeno Valero - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0 ✺
20.05.21	Carlos Gimeno Valero - Vladyslav Orlov	2:0 ✺
19.05.21	Carlos Gimeno Valero - Martin Cuevas	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
01.05.21	Stefano Travaglia - Carlos Gimeno Valero	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.21	Carlos Gimeno Valero - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWWLL
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ITF Tournaments
21.05.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
20.05.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Facundo Juarez	2:0 ✺
18.05.21	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.21	Emilio Gomez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
28.04.21	Kaichi Uchida - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW

Carlos Gimeno Valero - Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide