Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Zaragoza (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Zaragoza (Spain) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Carlos Lopez Montagud		Alex Marti Pujolras

	1	2
	2.2	1.57
	2.2	1.57
	2.27	1.58
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.22	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.83)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Lopez Montagud
41.6%

Alex Marti Pujolras
58.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Lopez Montagud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlos Lopez Montagud's form might have worsened.

Alex Marti Pujolras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Marti Pujolras's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Lopez Montagud than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlos Lopez Montagud, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Marti Pujolras than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Marti Pujolras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carlos Lopez Montagud - Alex Marti Pujolras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lopez Montagud is ranked ATP: 443. Marti Pujolras is ranked ATP: 378.

Lopez Montagud is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Marti Pujolras is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lopez Montagud could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lopez Montagud won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:0

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Marti Pujolras - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Lopez Montagud
ATP Challenger
15.09.24	Sebastian Sorger - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Imanol Lopez Morillo	0:2 ✺
26.08.24	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
25.08.24	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Volodymyr Uzhylovsky	2:0 ✺
19.08.24	Ergi Kirkin - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Alex Marti Pujolras
ITF Tournaments
27.09.24	Alex Marti Pujolras - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
26.09.24	Alex Marti Pujolras - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Alex Marti Pujolras - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.09.24	Valentin Royer - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:1 ✺
10.09.24	Filippo Romano - Alex Marti Pujolras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
26.09.21	Alex Marti Pujolras - Carlos Lopez Montagud	Lopez Montagud C. retired

Carlos Lopez Montagud - Alex Marti Pujolras