Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 SURBITON (UNITED KINGDOM), GRASS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 6 June 2023, Tuesday


	Carol Zhao		Katie Swan

	1	2
			Watch
	3.7	1.22	Watch
	3.4	1.28
	3.99	1.22
	4	1.22
	3.94	1.21	Watch
	3.85	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.1)	1.23 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carol Zhao
24.4%

Katie Swan
75.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carol Zhao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carol Zhao's form might have worsened.

Katie Swan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Katie Swan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carol Zhao than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carol Zhao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katie Swan than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Katie Swan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Zhao is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Swan is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Swan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Swan is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carol Zhao
WTA Roland Garros
24.05.23	Sara Bejlek - Carol Zhao	2:0 ✺
23.05.23	Katarzyna Kawa - Carol Zhao	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Carol Zhao - Katie Volynets	0:2 ✺
15.05.23	Carol Zhao - Marine Partaud	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.05.23	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Carol Zhao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWL
- Katie Swan
WTA Roland Garros
23.05.23	Katie Swan - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.23	Jasmine Paolini - Katie Swan	2:1 ✺
02.05.23	Katie Swan - Freya Christie	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.04.23	Katie Swan - Ekaterina Maklakova	0:2 ✺
26.04.23	Katie Swan - Basak Eraydin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

Carol Zhao - Katie Swan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide