Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Midland (USA), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday


	Carol Zhao		Louisa Chirico

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	2.85	1.36
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.27	1.35
	3.17	1.36	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.15	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.61)	1.33 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carol Zhao
29.2%

Louisa Chirico
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carol Zhao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carol Zhao's form might have worsened.

Louisa Chirico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Louisa Chirico's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carol Zhao than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carol Zhao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisa Chirico than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Louisa Chirico, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carol Zhao - Louisa Chirico Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhao is ranked WTA: 275. Chirico is ranked WTA: 230.

Zhao is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chirico in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Chirico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chirico will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Chirico to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carol Zhao
WTA Hong Kong
26.10.24	Xinyu Gao - Carol Zhao	2:0 ✺
25.10.24	Man Ying Maggie Ng - Carol Zhao	0:2 ✺
WTA Guangzhou
20.10.24	Jessika Ponchet - Carol Zhao	2:0 ✺
WTA Ningbo
12.10.24	Ajla Tomljanovic - Carol Zhao	2:0 ✺
WTA Beijing
22.09.24	Yulia Starodubtseva - Carol Zhao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLLL
- Louisa Chirico
ITF Tournaments
03.11.24	Louisa Chirico - Kayla Cross	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Louisa Chirico - Julie Belgraver	2:0 ✺
01.11.24	Gabriela Lee - Louisa Chirico	0:2 ✺
31.10.24	Ariana Arseneault - Louisa Chirico	0:2 ✺
30.10.24	Petra Marcinko - Louisa Chirico	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW

Carol Zhao - Louisa Chirico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide