Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 SAO PAULO (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday


	Carolina Alves		Madison Sieg

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.35	1.52
	2.25	1.57
	2.3	1.57	Watch
	1.34	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.36)	1.81 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carolina Alves
46.3%

Madison Sieg
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carolina Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carolina Alves's performance.

Madison Sieg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Madison Sieg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Alves than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carolina Alves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madison Sieg than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Madison Sieg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Alves is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sieg has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alves could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sieg will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carolina Alves
ITF Tournaments
24.03.24	Oana Gavrila - Carolina Alves	2:1 ✺
22.03.24	Irina Fetecau - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
21.03.24	Emily Seibold - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Kylie McKenzie - Carolina Alves	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Carolina Alves - Lara Julieta Estable	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWW
- Madison Sieg
ATP Challenger
12.03.24	Madison Sieg - Oceane Dodin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.03.24	Nahia Berecoechea - Madison Sieg	2:0 ✺
WTA San Diego
24.02.24	Kayla Day - Madison Sieg	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.02.24	Madison Sieg - Leonie Kung	0:2 ✺
09.02.24	Lea Ma - Madison Sieg	Ma L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLLL?

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carolina Alves
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Carolina Alves - Luisina Giovannini	✺

Carolina Alves - Madison Sieg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide