Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Redding, CA, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	Lea Ma		Madison Sieg

	1	2
	1.68	2.13
	1.69	2.03	Watch
	1.62	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.53)	2.11 ↓ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lea Ma
56%

Madison Sieg
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lea Ma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lea Ma's form might have worsened.

Madison Sieg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madison Sieg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lea Ma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Sieg than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madison Sieg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lea Ma - Madison Sieg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ma is ranked WTA: 328. Sieg is ranked WTA: 438.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Ma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ma might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Lea Ma - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 61.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lea Ma
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Lea Ma - Ema Burgic	2:1 ✺
08.10.25	Lea Ma - Marie Weckerle	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Lea Ma - Madison Brengle	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Lea Ma - Diletta Cherubini	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Lea Ma - Sofia Johnson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWW
- Madison Sieg
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Klara Kosan - Madison Sieg	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Kate Fakih - Madison Sieg	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Madison Sieg	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Madison Sieg - Alicia Herrero Linana	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Merna Refaat - Madison Sieg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.02.24	Lea Ma - Madison Sieg	Ma L. retired
17.01.24	Lea Ma - Madison Sieg	0:2

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