Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Caserta, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday


	Carolina Alves		Mai Hontama

	1	2
			Watch
	3.5	1.24
	3.55	1.25
	3.61	1.26
	3.5	1.28	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	3.46	1.27	Watch
	3.55	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (2.99)	1.26 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carolina Alves
26.4%

Mai Hontama
73.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carolina Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Mai Hontama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Alves than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (-3%)

Carolina Alves - Mai Hontama Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5 Games - Hontama (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hontama (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Alves is ranked WTA: 283. Hontama is ranked WTA: 197.

Recent form of Alves has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Hontama has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hontama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hontama is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carolina Alves
ITF Tournaments
28.05.25	Carolina Alves - Kyoka Okamura	1:2 ✺
WTA Rabat
19.05.25	Carolina Alves - Katie Volynets	0:2 ✺
18.05.25	Carolina Alves - Sada Nahimana	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Carol Zhao - Carolina Alves	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.04.25	Gergana Topalova - Carolina Alves	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL
- Mai Hontama
WTA Roland Garros
22.05.25	Mai Hontama - Francesca Jones	1:2 ✺
20.05.25	Elena Pridankina - Mai Hontama	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.05.25	Tamara Korpatsch - Mai Hontama	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Renata Jamrichova - Mai Hontama	1:2 ✺
15.05.25	Mai Hontama - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.05.21	Mai Hontama - Carolina Alves	2:0

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